1. |
Sampling and Bayes' Inference in Scientific Modelling and Robustness |
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Journal of the Statistical Society of London,
Volume 143,
Issue 4,
2018,
Page 383-404
George E. P. Box,
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摘要:
SummaryScientific learning is an iterative process employing Criticism and Estimation. Correspondingly the formulated model factors into two complementary parts—a predictive part allowing model criticism, and a Bayes posterior part allowing estimation. Implications for significance tests, the theory of precise measurement and for ridge estimates are considered. Predictive checking functions for transformation, serial correlation, bad values, and their relation with Bayesian options are considered. Robustness is seen from a Bayesian viewpoint and examples are given. For the bad value problem a comparison with M estimators is made.
ISSN:0959-5341
DOI:10.2307/2982063
出版商:Wiley
年代:2018
数据来源: WILEY
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2. |
Discussion of Professor Box's Paper |
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Journal of the Statistical Society of London,
Volume 143,
Issue 4,
2018,
Page 404-430
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ISSN:0959-5341
DOI:10.1111/j.2397-2327.1980.tb04199.x
出版商:Wiley
年代:2018
数据来源: WILEY
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3. |
Sample Designs and Sampling Errors for the World Fertility Survey |
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Journal of the Statistical Society of London,
Volume 143,
Issue 4,
2018,
Page 431-463
Vijay Verma,
Christopher Scott,
Colm O'Muircheartaigh,
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摘要:
SummaryThe paper describes and tabulates sample design characteristics and parameters for 35 national surveys in developing countries conducted under the World Fertility Survey programme. Common design features are discussed in relation to the various practical constraints inherent in the basic data collection operation, which consists of a detailed interview with women in childbearing ages.For a large number of substantive variables common to the surveys, design effects for the total sample as well as for numerous sample subclasses and subclass differences are studied and compared across countries, across variables and across subclasses. Simple models are developed for the relationships between the sampling errors for the total sample, subclasses and subclass differences. The influence of area sampling stages, stratification and weighting on the design effect is investigated.
ISSN:0959-5341
DOI:10.2307/2982064
出版商:Wiley
年代:2018
数据来源: WILEY
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4. |
Discussion of the Paper by Drs Verma and Scott and Mr O'Muircheartaigh |
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Journal of the Statistical Society of London,
Volume 143,
Issue 4,
2018,
Page 463-473
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PDF (969KB)
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ISSN:0959-5341
DOI:10.1111/j.2397-2327.1980.tb04201.x
出版商:Wiley
年代:2018
数据来源: WILEY
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5. |
Regression Analysis of Data from Complex Surveys |
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Journal of the Statistical Society of London,
Volume 143,
Issue 4,
2018,
Page 474-487
D. Holt,
T. M. F. Smith,
P. D. Winter,
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摘要:
SummaryThree methods of carrying out a regression analysis of data collected by means of a survey of complex design are investigated. Least squares methods which ignore population structure such as clustering or stratification can give seriously misleading results. Probability weighted methods are much better and give reasonable inferences for equal probability designs. However, for designs with widely differing selection probabilities the inferences can be poor. The best results were obtained for an estimator derived from maximum likelihood theory. This estimator requires that values of a design variable be known for all units in the population. Some aspects of the robustness of this procedure are studied.
ISSN:0959-5341
DOI:10.2307/2982065
出版商:Wiley
年代:2018
数据来源: WILEY
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6. |
Proceedings of a Special General Meeting of the Royal Statistical Society |
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Journal of the Statistical Society of London,
Volume 143,
Issue 4,
2018,
Page 488-489
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PDF (114KB)
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ISSN:0959-5341
DOI:10.1111/j.2397-2327.1980.tb04203.x
出版商:Wiley
年代:2018
数据来源: WILEY
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7. |
Proceedings of the One Hundred and Forty‐Sixth Annual General Meeting of the Royal Statistical Society |
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Journal of the Statistical Society of London,
Volume 143,
Issue 4,
2018,
Page 489-490
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PDF (100KB)
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ISSN:0959-5341
DOI:10.1111/j.2397-2327.1980.tb04204.x
出版商:Wiley
年代:2018
数据来源: WILEY
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8. |
President's Report |
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Journal of the Statistical Society of London,
Volume 143,
Issue 4,
2018,
Page 491-493
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PDF (196KB)
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ISSN:0959-5341
DOI:10.1111/j.2397-2327.1980.tb04205.x
出版商:Wiley
年代:2018
数据来源: WILEY
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9. |
Honorary Treasurer's Report |
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Journal of the Statistical Society of London,
Volume 143,
Issue 4,
2018,
Page 494-494
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PDF (51KB)
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ISSN:0959-5341
DOI:10.1111/j.2397-2327.1980.tb04206.x
出版商:Wiley
年代:2018
数据来源: WILEY
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10. |
Annual Report of the Council |
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Journal of the Statistical Society of London,
Volume 143,
Issue 4,
2018,
Page 495-517
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PDF (1088KB)
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ISSN:0959-5341
DOI:10.1111/j.2397-2327.1980.tb04207.x
出版商:Wiley
年代:2018
数据来源: WILEY
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