摘要:

AbstractThe Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research has published forecasts of the Australian economy since the late 1960s. These forecasts (usually 12 to 18 months ahead) have been dominated by short‐term macroeconomic factors. Compared with when the IAESR commenced its forecasting, there are now many forecasters who concentrate on the performance of the Australian economy over the short term. There is, however, a dearth of regular commentary which focuses on policy options for the medium to long term.This article is the first of many which will aim to fill this perceived gap. In so doing we shall adopt a wider concept of forecasting called futurology.In this approach, many constraints of traditional forecasting are relaxed. In particular, we allow responses by economic agents to policy changes. This will suggest plausible situations in which different outcomes are possible. Our purpose is not to suggest what the future will be, but what it might be under different scenarios.Here, we put together some necessary ingredients to facilitate futurology. We review recent Australian economic performance, consider the implications of meeting a goal of five per cent unemployment by the year 2000 and outline some important influences on likely future growth. We suggest that new growth theory may provide a policy framework to achieve both high growth and low unemployment, noting the constraints imposed by increasing globalisation.In subsequent articles, we shall employ these ingredients to write out plausible timepaths setting out how desirable end‐points (including the reduction of unemployment) may be achie

ISSN:0004-9018    

DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8462.1993.tb00776.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1993

数据来源: WILEY

ISSN:0004-9018    

DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8462.1993.tb00777.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1993

数据来源: WILEY

ISSN:0004-9018    

DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8462.1993.tb00778.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1993

数据来源: WILEY

ISSN:0004-9018    

DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8462.1993.tb00779.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1993

数据来源: WILEY

ISSN:0004-9018    

DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8462.1993.tb00780.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1993

数据来源: WILEY

ISSN:0004-9018    

DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8462.1993.tb00781.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1993

数据来源: WILEY

ISSN:0004-9018    

DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8462.1993.tb00782.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1993

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

AbstractThis article examines how the political and institutional environment impinges upon unionisation. Changes in policy towards trade unions in two countries are contrasted: the United Kingdom under the Conservative government where the industrial relations legal environment shifted in a direction antithetical to unionism, and Australia under the Labor administration where the union movement was incorporated into the labour policy process through a corporatist, centralised wage‐fixing system—the Accord. How these changes in the legal and institutional environment in the two countries affect the propensity to unionise is examined. It is found that in both the United Kingdom and Australia union density has declined from what it otherwise would have been in the absence of these radically different policies. It is argued that the extremes of corporatist centralisation and laissez‐faire decentralisation, perhaps paradoxically, make it difficult for unions to increase their membe

ISSN:0004-9018    

DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8462.1993.tb00783.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1993

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

AbstractThis article examines the effects of increased capital market integration on Australia's external liabilities, total assets and national wealth using an inter‐temporal approach. Stylised national balance sheets‐then provide summary statements of how these aggregates changed following the unprecedented international financial liberalisation of the 1980s. Though the level of international debt was relatively high at the end of the 1980s compared to the 1970s, it was easily exceeded by growth in asset values, resulting in a sharp rise in wealth per h

ISSN:0004-9018    

DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8462.1993.tb00784.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1993

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

AbstractThis article addresses two research questions, firstly to test the hypothesis that organisational and technological changes are more likely to occur in the traded goods sector, in the private sector relative to the public sector and in more competitive product markets. Secondly, to examine whether trade unions have a positive or negative effect on the implementation of different types of workplace reforms, and organisational and technological changes.The analysis supports the hypothesis that workplaces in the traded goods sector are more likely to implement organisational and technological changes. It also indicates that workplaces in the private sector are more likely to implement certain types of reforms, whereas workplaces in the public sector are more likely to implement others. However, this study does not provide conclusive evidence that competitive pressure in product markets increases the probability that a firm will implement each workplace reform mentioned in this study. The evidence on unions provides tentative support to the view that more unionised workplaces are less likely to implement the reforms in question.

ISSN:0004-9018    

DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8462.1993.tb00785.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1993

数据来源: WILEY