1. |
Strategies for Modelling Nonlinear Time‐Series Relationships* |
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Economic Record,
Volume 69,
Issue 3,
1993,
Page 233-238
CLIVE W. J. GRANGER,
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摘要:
Building models of nonlinear relationships are inherently more difficult than linear ones There are more possibilities, many more parameters and thus more mistakes can be made. It is suggested that a strategy be applied when attempting such modelling involving testing for linearity, considering just a few model types of parsimonious form and then performing post‐sample evaluation of the resulting models compared to a linear one. The strategy proposed is a ‘simple‐to‐general’ one and the application of a heteroskedasticity correction is not r
ISSN:0013-0249
DOI:10.1111/j.1475-4932.1993.tb02103.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1993
数据来源: WILEY
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2. |
Determinants of International Trade Flows in Travel and Passenger Services* |
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Economic Record,
Volume 69,
Issue 3,
1993,
Page 239-252
FARIBORZ MOSHIRIAN,
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摘要:
In the past decade there has been a great increase in interest in trade in services. This paper estimates the determinants of trade flows for two service industries, travel and passenger transportation services, for 16 OECD countries Traditional and more recent models of import demand and demand for export functions are utilized The empirical results indicate similarity between trade in goods and trade in services. Price competitiveness is an important factor in determining the trade flows in travel services and like trade in manufactured goods, exchange rate variations have some influence on the volume of travel and passenger transportation services
ISSN:0013-0249
DOI:10.1111/j.1475-4932.1993.tb02104.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1993
数据来源: WILEY
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3. |
A Probit Analysis of Aboriginal Employment Prospects in New South Wales* |
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Economic Record,
Volume 69,
Issue 3,
1993,
Page 253-258
RUSSELL ROSS,
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摘要:
Using data from the 1986–87Survey of Working Age Aborigines in New South Wales,this paper presents the results of a probit analysis to determine the characteristics which differentiate employed Aborigines from Aborigines not in employment The results of the probit analysis show the importance of the acquisition of human capital to the employment success of Aborigines, at least in New South Wales. Increments in level of education, previous participation in formal labour market programs, and previous employment experience all have significant, positive impacts on the likelihood of individual Aborigines being in employme
ISSN:0013-0249
DOI:10.1111/j.1475-4932.1993.tb02105.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1993
数据来源: WILEY
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4. |
Immigration and Economic Welfare: Resource and Environmental Aspects* |
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Economic Record,
Volume 69,
Issue 3,
1993,
Page 259-273
HARRY R. CLARKE,
YEW‐KNANG NG,
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摘要:
The relation between immigration and the economic welfare of residents b analyzed for resource‐rich economies (such as Australia) both under competitive conditions and when various distortions are present Immigration provides efficiency gains for residents under distortion–free competition for standard ‘gains from trade’ reasons. Such reasons, however, tend to be ignored by immigration and ‘optimal population’ theorists who raise the issue of restricting immigration without explicitly referring to the distortions. In situations where distortions and externalities are present, we argue that it is generally preferable to devise policies which specifically target the distortions than to restrict
ISSN:0013-0249
DOI:10.1111/j.1475-4932.1993.tb02106.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1993
数据来源: WILEY
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5. |
Taxes, Retirement Transfers, and Annuities* |
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Economic Record,
Volume 69,
Issue 3,
1993,
Page 274-284
HAZEL BATEMAN,
GEOFFREY KINGSTON,
JOHN PIGGOTT,
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摘要:
In most countries, retirement benefits from pension saving must be taken as an annuity. By contrast, Australia allows benefits to be taken as a lump sum, and instead has recently introduced various tax incentives to encourage annuity purchase. This paper investigates the effectiveness of these tax concessions, and concludes that they do little to achieve this objective This is because they are nullified by the provisions of the broader tax and social security framework within which Australian private pension policy is set
ISSN:0013-0249
DOI:10.1111/j.1475-4932.1993.tb02107.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1993
数据来源: WILEY
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6. |
The Dynamic Effect of Devaluation on the Balance of Payments of a Small Debt‐Ridden Open Economy* |
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Economic Record,
Volume 69,
Issue 3,
1993,
Page 285-294
D. T. NGUYEN,
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摘要:
This paper derives a precise necessary and sufficient condition for devaluation to eventually improve the balance of payments in domestic currency, using assumptions more appropriate for a small open economy than those of Marshall‐Lerner. It will be shown that, following devaluation, the balance of payments deteriorates over a short period before it gradually improves– the so‐called J‐curve effect The duration of this short period will be shown to depend on the magnitude of trade elasticities, lag‐coefficients, unhedged foreign debt denominated in foreign currency, interest rate and current accou
ISSN:0013-0249
DOI:10.1111/j.1475-4932.1993.tb02108.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1993
数据来源: WILEY
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7. |
Testing for Equilibrium in the Australian Wage Equation* |
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Economic Record,
Volume 69,
Issue 3,
1993,
Page 295-304
PHILIP E.T. LEWIS,
GARRY A. MacDONALD,
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摘要:
In this paper a range of unit root and cointegration tests are applied to the time‐series variables most commonly found in the various specifications of the Australian wage equation. We find a contradiction between the standard Dickey‐Fuller (DF) tests and the results from Johansen estimation regarding the order of integration. The conclusion we reach using tests developed by Perron (1989,1990) is that all the variables are trend stationary processes and that the cointegration framework is inappropriate in this c
ISSN:0013-0249
DOI:10.1111/j.1475-4932.1993.tb02109.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1993
数据来源: WILEY
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8. |
Unionization in Australia: Evidence from the AWIRS* |
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Economic Record,
Volume 69,
Issue 3,
1993,
Page 305-314
MARK WOODEN,
JEFFREY BALCHIN,
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摘要:
This article uses workplace level data from the recent Australian Workplace Industrial Relations Survey to test a simple demand and supply model explaining the level of union membership within Australia The findings suggest that previous research using individual‐level data has understated the importance of the supply‐side in influencing union membership. In particular, unionization levels were found to be highly sensitive to firm size, to the number of unions represented in the workplace and to management attit
ISSN:0013-0249
DOI:10.1111/j.1475-4932.1993.tb02110.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1993
数据来源: WILEY
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9. |
What Do Australian Unions Do?* |
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Economic Record,
Volume 69,
Issue 3,
1993,
Page 315-342
PAUL MILLER,
CHARLES MULVEY,
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ISSN:0013-0249
DOI:10.1111/j.1475-4932.1993.tb02111.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1993
数据来源: WILEY
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10. |
Reviews |
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Economic Record,
Volume 69,
Issue 3,
1993,
Page 343-349
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摘要:
Banks as Multinationals, edited by G. JonesPrice Theory and Applications, by J. Hirshleifer and A. GlazerThe Economics of Monetary Integration, by P. de GrauweThe Economics of Order and Disorder, by J. Lesourne
ISSN:0013-0249
DOI:10.1111/j.1475-4932.1993.tb02112.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1993
数据来源: WILEY
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