摘要:

ABSTRACTLabor migration from the Mediterranean region to industrial areas of the Northwest has been significant in rearranging the population of Europe over the past twenty years. Although movement between various combinations of emigrant and immigrant countries has differed widely in time and circumstances, an overall consistency of influences and patterns becomes evident upon analysis of the migratory flows.In the country of immigration, the interplay of employment possibilities and available workers produces a labor requirement which the government evaluates in light of its long‐range objectives, its alternative courses of policy, and the pressures to which it is subjected. In the country of emigration, economic and perceptive factors play a major role in creating a group of potential migrants, which the government considers in terms of resource evaluation and the demands of internal development.The net labor demand and net emigrant supply filtered through by the respective governments are co‐ordinated through an organizational framework, although clandestine migration is increasingly circumventing established procedures. Demographic consequences of the resultant net labor migration are subsequently influenced by the addition of family members or the return of workers to their country of ori

ISSN:0020-7985    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2435.1969.tb00285.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1969

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

ABSTRACTStochastic process analysis, particularly Markov chain dependence, may be utilized in a wide range of research situations where change through time is the focus of interest. This paper is concerned with the utility of Markov chain analysis in the prediction of future migration on the basis of past migratory behavior. Transition probability matrices, which were dependent on the respondent's migratory behavior in the preceding time interval, were utilized to predict migration in the following time interval for a series of 145 longitudinal case histories. Predictions were also obtained for selected age, educational, and occupational stratifications. Markov chain analysis, or a similar probability model, seems to provide a promising tool for studying the relationship between prior and expected migration, and for obtaining statements of migration probability. Since a high proportion of total migrations seem to be made by a limited segment of the population, the factor of past migratory behavior itself may be an important element in the identification of migration differentials and the prediction of future migration.

ISSN:0020-7985    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2435.1969.tb00286.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1969

数据来源: WILEY

ISSN:0020-7985    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2435.1969.tb00288.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1969

数据来源: WILEY

ISSN:0020-7985    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2435.1969.tb00289.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1969

数据来源: WILEY

ISSN:0020-7985    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2435.1969.tb00290.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1969

数据来源: WILEY

ISSN:0020-7985    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2435.1969.tb00291.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1969

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

It is no longer the call to ‘give me your tired, your poor, your huddled masses:’ now we ask for your alert, your privileged, your brainy, your talen

ISSN:0020-7985    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2435.1969.tb00292.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1969

数据来源: WILEY

ISSN:0020-7985    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2435.1969.tb00293.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1969

数据来源: WILEY

ISSN:0020-7985    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2435.1969.tb00294.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1969

数据来源: WILEY

ISSN:0020-7985    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2435.1969.tb00295.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1969

数据来源: WILEY