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1. |
Foreword |
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African Development Review,
Volume 1,
Issue 1,
1989,
Page 1-1
Babacar NDIAYE,
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ISSN:1017-6772
DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8268.1989.tb00001.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1989
数据来源: WILEY
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2. |
Avant‐propos |
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African Development Review,
Volume 1,
Issue 1,
1989,
Page 2-2
Babacar NDIAYE,
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PDF (81KB)
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ISSN:1017-6772
DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8268.1989.tb00002.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1989
数据来源: WILEY
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3. |
Lessons for Sub‐Saharan Africa from Latin American Experience? |
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African Development Review,
Volume 1,
Issue 1,
1989,
Page 3-4
G.K. Helleiner,
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PDF (135KB)
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摘要:
Abstract:There are many issue areas in which African policymakers and analysts may learn from Latin American experience. These include appropriate incentive structures, industrialization strategy, response to external shocks, anti‐inflation policies, policies on foreign direct investment, and economic integration. Comparisons of particular country experiences can also be useful if carefully made. Attention is called to the possibility of fruitful comparisons between specific Latin American countries' experiences and the current problems of Cameroun, Côte d'Ivoire, Kenya, Senegal, Zambia and Zimbabwe.Résumé:I1 y a maintenant de nombreux domaines oh les dirigeants et les analystes africains peuvent tirer des lecons de l'experience latino‐americaine. On peutciter, entre autres, des structures incitatives adoptees, une strategic del'industrialisation, une reponse aux chocs externes, les politiques de lutte contrel'inflation, les politiques concernant les investissements directs etrangers etl'integration economique. Des comparaisons des experiences particulieres de pays si elles sont soigneusement faites, peuvent egalement se reveler utiles.L'attention est attiree sur la possibilite de comparaisons fructueuses entre lesexperiences precises des pays dpmerique lathe et les problemes que connais‐sent actuellement le Cameroun, la C6te d'Ivoire, le Kenya, le Senegal, la Zambieet le
ISSN:1017-6772
DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8268.1989.tb00003.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1989
数据来源: WILEY
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4. |
Issues in Which Latin America May Offer Lessons1 |
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African Development Review,
Volume 1,
Issue 1,
1989,
Page 5-20
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PDF (1089KB)
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ISSN:1017-6772
DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8268.1989.tb00004.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1989
数据来源: WILEY
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5. |
Sources of Industrial Growth in Kenya, Tanzania, Zambia and Zimbabwe: Some Estimates |
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African Development Review,
Volume 1,
Issue 1,
1989,
Page 21-39
Elfatih Shaaeldin,
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摘要:
Résumé:Resume: Pour etudier les sources de croissance industrielle au Kenya, en Tanzanie, en Zambie et au Zimbabwe, nous avons utilise dans cet ouvrage la methode de la formation de production appliquee a la croissance, le taux de croissance du facteur de la productivite globale (T.F.P.G.) sont calculees sur une periode allant de 1964 a 1983 pour ces pays. Pour le Zimbabwe le taux de croissance du T.F.P.G. est positif mais n'a aucune signification. Donc, pour tous ces pays une croissance de facteur des moyens de production influe en grande partie sur la croissance industrielle. En comparant des etudes faites sur les pays developpes avec celles faites sur les pays en developpement nous constatons que la contribution de l'augmentation des facteurs de production est relativement negligeable, mais celle du T.F.P.G. est significative. Puis, dans ce document nous considererons les causes approximatives de la performance nulle du T.F.P.G. dans ces pays etudies. Puis nous analyserons les variations de la capa‐cite d'exploitation, des tailles du marche, des politiques macro‐economiques, des structures du marche, du niveau de developpement des capacites techno‐logiques.Abstract:This paper utilizes a growth accounting production function approach to analyze the sources of industrial growth in Kenya, Tanzania, Zambia and Zimbabwe. Rates of Total Factor Productivity Growth (TFPG) are calculated for these countries during periods in between 1964 and 1983. The estimates indicate negative growth rates of TFP in Kenya, Tanzania and Zambia. For Zimbabwe the growth rate of TFP is found to be positive but insignificant. Hence, for all of these countries increase in factor inputs mostly accounts for manufacturing growth. By comparison studies for developed countries and some developing countries showed a relatively unimportant contribution from increased inputs and a significant contribution from TFPG. The paper, then considers some of the proximate causes of the poor performance in TFPG in the countries—studied. The roles of changes of capacity utilization, market size, macro‐economic policies, market structures, level of development of technological capability a
ISSN:1017-6772
DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8268.1989.tb00005.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1989
数据来源: WILEY
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6. |
Stratégies de développement et ouverture sur l'extérieur |
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African Development Review,
Volume 1,
Issue 1,
1989,
Page 40-57
Patrick Guillaumont,
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摘要:
Résurné:Cet article examine d'abord la notion de strategie de developpe‐ment: il en propose une definition et des criteres de mesure: la strategie dedeveloppement, mode de developpement choisi par le pays, autrement dit cequi ne resulte pas de I'environnement, est appreciee a travers divers indicateurs,dits de performance, de choix structurels et de choix instrumentaux. Les indi‐cateurs sont mesures en purgeant les donnees brutes de I'influence de l'envi‐ronnement.Abstract:This paper first considers the concept of development strategy, of which it offers a definition and measurement criteria. Development strategy is defined as the development pattern chosen by the country, that is to say the pattern which does not result from the environmental factors. It can be appreciated by several indicators of ‘performance’, ‘structural choices’ and ‘instrumental choices’, most of them measured by eliminating from gross variables the influence of the environment.This methodology is then applied to the study of the trade strategy. The ‘openness’ of ‘outward orientation’ is here defined and measured by the level of export‐GDP ratio which does not result from environment. Environmental variables acting on the export ratio, as estimated by a cross‐sectional analysis, are the per capita income level, the country size, and the mineral exports. This ‘revealed’ outward (or inward) orientation is compared between African and non African countries. Finally, the implications of an informal trade for the outward orientation index are discuss
ISSN:1017-6772
DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8268.1989.tb00006.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1989
数据来源: WILEY
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7. |
Reflections on the Market and the State in Sub‐Saharan Africa |
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African Development Review,
Volume 1,
Issue 1,
1989,
Page 58-86
James Pickett,
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摘要:
Abstract:Until recently market forces were increasingly suspect and the economic role of the state was generally expanding. The state, however, is now suspect and the market resurgent. The question is still, however, one of balance. In sub‐Saharan Africa theory and the empirical evidence suggest that this should be struck in favour of the market. The state should look to the three duties Adam Smith assigned to the sovereign—defence, law and order, and the provision of public goods—and take seriously the task of enforcing competition. In this regard, good economics need not be bad politics.Résumé:Jusque tout recemment, on faisait de moins en moins confiance auxforces du marche alors que le r6le economique de l'Etat s'accroissait de facon generale. Aujourd'hui, on soupconne toutefois 1'Etat. I1 s'agit cependant tou‐jours d'une question d'equilibre. En Afrique sub‐saharienne, la theorie et les faits empiriques indiquent que l'equilibre devrait s'etablir en faveur du marche.L'Etat devrait considerer les trois fonctions qu'Adam Smith a assignees au Souverain ‐ la defense, l'ordre public et la fourniture de biens publics ‐ etp rendre au serieux la tiche consistant a faire jouer
ISSN:1017-6772
DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8268.1989.tb00007.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1989
数据来源: WILEY
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8. |
Money, Inflation and Adjustment Policy in Africa: Some Further Evidence |
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African Development Review,
Volume 1,
Issue 1,
1989,
Page 87-111
Anselm London,
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摘要:
Abstract:In view of the explicit link between inflation and the rate of monetary expansion that is invariably incorporated into many macroeconomic adjustment programmes in Africa, this paper, using both cross‐section and time series econometric analysis, provides some new empirical evidence on the relationship between money and inflation in Africa. It is shown that although, broadly speaking, the simple monetarist inflation model appears to hold when tested in cross‐section equations covering several countries and averaged over several years, the same is generally not true for individual countries in time series analysis or in cross‐section studies covering shorter time periods. In fact, the result of the analysis strongly suggest that factors other than the rate of monetary expansion have played an important role in determining short‐run inflation trends in Africa. With respect to the implications of these findings for the conduct of current macroeconomic policy and in particular, given the apparently lesser role that ought to be assigned to monetary factors over the short run, the paper urges greater flexibility in deploying policy instruments towards inflation targets in individual African countries and cautions against the application of rules based on regional results in favour of those derived from country‐specific findings.Résumé:Compte tenu du lien explicite entre inflation et taux d'expansion monetaire, auquel il est invariablement fait reference dans de nombreux pro‐grammes d'ajustements macro‐economique en Afrique, cet article, s'appuyant sur une analyse economique de donnees transversales et chronologiques fournit de nouvelles preuves empiriques des relations qui existent entre la monnaie et l'inflation en Afrique. On montre que, de facon generale, mkme si le simple modele monetariste d'inflation parait ktre valide lorsqu'on effectue des tests sur des equations transversales couvrant plusieurs pays et qu'on calcule sa moyenne sur plusieurs annees, il n'en est pas de mCme, pour les pays consideres isolement, dans l'analyse de series chronologiques ou dans les etudes transver‐sales couvrant des periodes plus courtes. De fait, les resultats de l'analyse donnent fortement a penser que des facteurs autres que le taux d'expension monetaire ont joue un role important dansla determination des tendances inflationnistes a court terme en Afrique. En ce qui concerne les consequences deces conclusions pour la conduite de la politique macro‐economique actuelle et, en particulier, vu le role moins important, a ce qui semble, qu'il faudraitaccorder court terme aux facteurs monetaires, l'article preconise une plus grande souplesse dans le deploiement de la panoplie des instruments de poli‐tique economique pour atteindre les objectifs retenus pour le taux d'inflation dam les differents pays africains et met en garde contre l'application de regles fondees sur les resultats regionaux en faveur de celles elaborees a partir de conclus
ISSN:1017-6772
DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8268.1989.tb00008.x
出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd
年代:1989
数据来源: WILEY
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