摘要:

ABSTRACTThe purpose of this paper is to explain changes in regional attractiveness as measured by the competitive component of the shift‐share model. This is done by applying the shift‐share model to the manufacturing sector in the province of Quebec and using time series data for twenty two‐digit industries as the basis of analysis. The study concludes that shift‐share is useful for analyzing historical employment patterns and identifying their causes through regression analysis. However, the inherent structural instability limits the predictive potential of th

ISSN:0017-4815    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2257.1990.tb00506.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1990

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

AbstractThis paper extends previous theorems concerning aggregation bias in single‐region and national input‐output models to interregional input‐output (IRIO) models. The results indicate that the conditions for zero aggregation bias are more stringent in input‐output models involving multiple regions. In addition, the paper derives the relationship between the information content of IRIO and national input‐output accounts. The results confirm the conventional wisdom that the information content of multiple region input‐output models of the U.S. economy contain more information than national input‐

ISSN:0017-4815    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2257.1990.tb00507.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1990

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

ABSTRACTThe ability of small rural governments to provide local public goods in a Pareto‐efficient manner is examined. A test developed by Brueckner (1982) is used to examine the efficiency of a sample of town governments in rural Maine. The empirical results suggest that local property values are maximized, which implies that local public goods are provided in a Pareto‐efficient man

ISSN:0017-4815    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2257.1990.tb00508.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1990

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

ABSTRACTYear in and year out, flooding causes greater dollar losses than any other natural hazard. To cope with that problem, more than 17,000 communities across the US have adopted riverine floodplain management programs to reduce the amount of urban development at risk from flooding and flood‐related damage. This article examines the extent to which floodplain management programs influence the investment and predevelopment decisions of owners of vacant floodplain land in ten selected cities. Such public programs are found to alleviate investment and development pressure in flood hazard areas. Community‐wide factors such as the availability of non‐floodplain buildable land, however, can magnify or depress this effect of public policy on investment activity. Further, landowner perceptions of the flood hazard itself have an important influence on anticipated property appreciation and investment act

ISSN:0017-4815    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2257.1990.tb00509.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1990

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

ABSTRACTIn this paper we estimate alternative models of the growth rate of real housing investment for Japan, Korea, Taiwan, and the U.S. Pure time series models generally provide superior fit to these growth rate data both within and out of the sample period. These time series models are then used to forecast investment growth rates in other countries. The results indicate that such time series models can be used to provide reasonable accurate forecasts for other countries.

ISSN:0017-4815    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2257.1990.tb00510.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1990

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

ABSTRACTNew York State lotto data are examined to determine whether the sales slowdown experienced by many state lotteries between 1985 and 1987 was due to a decline in interest by bettors or to a scarcity of large jackpots. Regression analysis shows that lotto sales accelerate as jackpots grow. Rising bettor participation causes fewer rollovers and smaller jackpots; this was the primary cause of the sales slowdown in New York. Increasing the odds against winning generates larger prizes and sales growth.

ISSN:0017-4815    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2257.1990.tb00511.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1990

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

Book reviews in this article:Trends in Urban Change ExaminedMichael G. H. McGeary and Laurence E. Lynn, Jr. eds.,Urban Change and Poverry.Swedes and NorwegiansBriant Lindsay Lowell.Scandinavian Exodus: Demography and Social Development of 19th Century Rural Communities.Environmental ManagementJoseph M. Petulla.Environmental Protection in the United States: Industries, Agencies, Environmentalists.

ISSN:0017-4815    

DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2257.1990.tb00512.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1990

数据来源: WILEY