ISSN:0028-1441    

DOI:10.1002/nav.3800080102

出版商:Wiley Subscription Services, Inc., A Wiley Company    

年代:1961

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

AbstractA large‐scale experiment was designed to obtain the intuitive evaluations of intelligence reports from a large group of experienced Army officers. An interval scale of quality of the intelligence reports was constructed with a view to providing some mathematical models that describe in a simple fashion the way in which the components of an intelligence report combine to determine the value of the report. The results of the study indicate (a) that officers judge such intelligence reports consistently, (b) that they use criteria in judging intelligence estimates different from those they use in judging courses of action, and (c) that the judgments depend to some extent on the combat experience of the officer. The different techniques of obtaining rating scales were found to produce essentially the same result

ISSN:0028-1441    

DOI:10.1002/nav.3800080103

出版商:Wiley Subscription Services, Inc., A Wiley Company    

年代:1961

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

AbstractThis paper formulates a fixed‐cost transportation problem as an integer program, describes some of its special properties, and suggests an approximate method of solution. Examples are given to demonstrate the approximation techniqu

ISSN:0028-1441    

DOI:10.1002/nav.3800080104

出版商:Wiley Subscription Services, Inc., A Wiley Company    

年代:1961

数据来源: WILEY

ISSN:0028-1441    

DOI:10.1002/nav.3800080105

出版商:Wiley Subscription Services, Inc., A Wiley Company    

年代:1961

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

AbstractOver the last several years, there has been considerable interest in the problems of effective programming, decision‐making, and progress evaluation, in the development and production of weapon systems. The need for solving these problems was great when budget ceilings were less restrictive. At the present time when budgets are more stringent, the need is indeed urgent if defense is to be most adequate. The principles and methods described in this article were developed as guides to the development and installation of a management system for programming, decision‐making, and progress evaluation in weapon systems development, procurement, and production in the U. S. Air Force. The principles, however, have applicability to programming, decision‐making, and control in other governmental and in industrial and business organizations. Some of these principles and methods already have been applied in other situations; some are new. However, the amount that is new is relatively small; we are confident the system is feasible and economic within the existing state of the art, and that it would contribute to efficiency in the development and production of weapon sy

ISSN:0028-1441    

DOI:10.1002/nav.3800080106

出版商:Wiley Subscription Services, Inc., A Wiley Company    

年代:1961

数据来源: WILEY

ISSN:0028-1441    

DOI:10.1002/nav.3800080107

出版商:Wiley Subscription Services, Inc., A Wiley Company    

年代:1961

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

AbstractA problem posed by Bellman and considered by Isbell is as follows: Suppose one is a mile from a straight shore with no means whatsoever of ascertaining its direction. What is the optimum path to follow so as to (a) minimize the maximum distance travelled in reaching shore, (b) minimize the statistical expectation of the distance travelled, or (c) maximize the probability of reaching shore within a given distance travelled? Isbell found the solution to (a); in the present paper a sequence of approximations to the optimal policy for (b) is considered.

ISSN:0028-1441    

DOI:10.1002/nav.3800080108

出版商:Wiley Subscription Services, Inc., A Wiley Company    

年代:1961

数据来源: WILEY

ISSN:0028-1441    

DOI:10.1002/nav.3800080109

出版商:Wiley Subscription Services, Inc., A Wiley Company    

年代:1961

数据来源: WILEY

ISSN:0028-1441    

DOI:10.1002/nav.3800080110

出版商:Wiley Subscription Services, Inc., A Wiley Company    

年代:1961

数据来源: WILEY

ISSN:0028-1441    

DOI:10.1002/nav.3800080111

出版商:Wiley Subscription Services, Inc., A Wiley Company    

年代:1961

数据来源: WILEY