摘要:

AbstractOriginally presented at the Fourth International Symposium on Forecasting, London, July 1984, this article reviews the role in policy analysis of the ORANI model of the Australian economy. A schematic description of the model is given. Conceptual issues concerning the use of such models for counterfactual policy analysis and for explicit forecasting are canvassed. A taxonomy is presented of policy applications of ORANI classifying both the policy issues addressed and the range of information obtained from the applications. Details of selected applications are discussed with the aim of illustrating the main themes which arise in policy studies conducted using the model.

ISSN:0004-9018    

DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8462.1985.tb00475.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1985

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

AbstractThis article examines critically the present structure of regulation of the liquor industry in Victoria. This is a mixture of detailed regulation of liquor supply conditions through the licensing of outlets and of taxation and other regulation of consumption activities. It examines the justification for regulation in some form which derives from socially harmful consequences of alcohol consumption such as drink driving and nuisance actions. The present controls are seen to be largely ineffective because they are not targetted closely to the activities which cause social harm. Substantial changes to the licensing system and other policies are recommended.

ISSN:0004-9018    

DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8462.1985.tb00476.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1985

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

AbstractAs a contribution to the debate over the taxation of the extractive industries, this article provides estimates of the short run and long run price elasticities of supply for iron ore in Western Australia. Using these estimates, an increase of 1 per cent in the average royalty rate on iron ore is shown to result in a short run decline of 0.61 per cent in the output of iron ore, and a long run decline of 4.36 per cent.It is concluded that raising tax revenue by ad valorem royalties on iron ore leads to a substantial distortion of output, especially after accounting for indirect effects.

ISSN:0004-9018    

DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8462.1985.tb00477.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1985

数据来源: WILEY

摘要:

AbstractA focal point of a number of recent studies of unemployment duration has been the estimation of the unobserved average completed duration (ACD) of an unemployment spell using groped data on observed incomplete spells. Both parametric and non‐parametric methods are available. This note compares the assumptions underlying the two approaches and argues for the use of a non‐parametric estimator, specifically the Kaplan‐Meier estimator, on grounds of its use of the weaker assumptions. In an actual application of the Kaplan‐Meier estimator to some data from the Australian Labour Force Survey a Number of problems are experienced due to the fact that the estimator is intended for data in a life table format. The note briefly discusses the resolution of these problems and related statistical

ISSN:0004-9018    

DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8462.1985.tb00478.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1985

数据来源: WILEY

ISSN:0004-9018    

DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8462.1985.tb00479.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1985

数据来源: WILEY

ISSN:0004-9018    

DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8462.1985.tb00480.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1985

数据来源: WILEY

ISSN:0004-9018    

DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8462.1985.tb00481.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1985

数据来源: WILEY

ISSN:0004-9018    

DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8462.1985.tb00482.x

出版商:Blackwell Publishing Ltd    

年代:1985

数据来源: WILEY