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Optimal Risk-Sharing When Risk Preferences are Uncertain

 

作者: BrownPamela Clark,  

 

期刊: Journal of the Operational Research Society  (Taylor Available online 1987)
卷期: Volume 38, issue 1  

页码: 17-29

 

ISSN:0160-5682

 

年代: 1987

 

DOI:10.1057/jors.1987.3

 

出版商: Taylor&Francis

 

关键词: buying;contract;risk;utility

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

AbstractIn many cases, a firm or agency needs a product that only one vendor can supply and for which the final cost is uncertain. An optimal risk-sharing arrangement is sought when the buyer and contractor agree on the probability distribution of cost but the buyer is uncertain of the contractor's risk-preferences. We find that when the buyer and contractor have exponential utilities, the optimal profit arrangement for the higher risk-averse contractor is no longer linear but concave in the costs. The degree of concavity is affected by the probabilistic beliefs on the contractor's risk-preferences. As the more risk-averse contractor becomes more likely, her chosen profit arrangement becomes less concave approaching the ideal, linear arrangement. The less risk-averse contractor is provided a profit arrangement with a certainty equivalent above her reservation price. This is the price the buyer must pay in order to entice a less risk-averse contractor into agreeing to accept a more risky profit arrangement.Another formulation is considered that assumes the buyer and contractor maximize approximations to their certainty equivalents in order to provide a more practical and possibly viable approach to sole-source contracting.

 

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