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A Bear Trap in Using the Iowa-Curve Methodology for Property Retirements and Depreciation Charges

 

作者: W.Edwards Deming,   NozerD. Singpurwalla,  

 

期刊: The American Statistician  (Taylor Available online 1989)
卷期: Volume 43, issue 1  

页码: 12-16

 

ISSN:0003-1305

 

年代: 1989

 

DOI:10.1080/00031305.1989.10475598

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

关键词: Accounting;Depreciation charges;Mixtures;Probable life;Rate setting;Reliability;Simpson's paradox;Survival curves;Taxation

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

The Iowa-curve methodology is based on the use of survival curves and is commonly employed for estimating the useful life of industrial property subject to depreciation charges. This article is an overview of this methodology. We point out some of the problems associated with it, and suggest ways of rectifying them. When there is paucity of retirement data for a single group of properties, the methodology calls for the consolidation of properties from different groups. We point out that such consolidations can lead to the gross underestimation of useful life due to an apparent paradox, which is reminiscent of Simpson's paradox.

 

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