Assessing Crew Response Probability for a Sequence of Actions with an Overall Time Constraint
作者:
Paolo Vestrucci,
期刊:
Risk Analysis
(WILEY Available online 1989)
卷期:
Volume 9,
issue 1
页码: 37-41
ISSN:0272-4332
年代: 1989
DOI:10.1111/j.1539-6924.1989.tb01217.x
出版商: Blackwell Publishing Ltd
关键词: Human error;crew behavior;action sequence;cognitive processes;industrial safety
数据来源: WILEY
摘要:
The following situation has been considered: during an accident sequence, a crew has to do a proper set of actions within a finite time window in order to achieve a specific goal. The operator actions are considered independent, they are lined up in series, and a single failure leads to mission failure. This paper proposes a general methodology for assessing the crew response (or success) probability, through a convolution integral formulation. This method is general and can be applied to any response probability model; an application to the Human Cognitive Reliability model is given.
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