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Assessing Crew Response Probability for a Sequence of Actions with an Overall Time Constraint

 

作者: Paolo Vestrucci,  

 

期刊: Risk Analysis  (WILEY Available online 1989)
卷期: Volume 9, issue 1  

页码: 37-41

 

ISSN:0272-4332

 

年代: 1989

 

DOI:10.1111/j.1539-6924.1989.tb01217.x

 

出版商: Blackwell Publishing Ltd

 

关键词: Human error;crew behavior;action sequence;cognitive processes;industrial safety

 

数据来源: WILEY

 

摘要:

The following situation has been considered: during an accident sequence, a crew has to do a proper set of actions within a finite time window in order to achieve a specific goal. The operator actions are considered independent, they are lined up in series, and a single failure leads to mission failure. This paper proposes a general methodology for assessing the crew response (or success) probability, through a convolution integral formulation. This method is general and can be applied to any response probability model; an application to the Human Cognitive Reliability model is given.

 

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