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FORECASTING URBAN WATER USE: THE IWR‐MAIN MODEL1

 

作者: Ben Dziegielewski,   John J. Boland,  

 

期刊: JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association  (WILEY Available online 1989)
卷期: Volume 25, issue 1  

页码: 101-109

 

ISSN:1093-474X

 

年代: 1989

 

DOI:10.1111/j.1752-1688.1989.tb05670.x

 

出版商: Blackwell Publishing Ltd

 

关键词: municipal and industrial water use;forecasting;econometric model

 

数据来源: WILEY

 

摘要:

ABSTRACT:In the current forecasting practice, future water requirements of a growing urban area are often represented as the product of the number of people to be served by the water system and an assumed quantity of gross per capita water use. This paper describes a forecasting approach that differs from the per capita method in two important aspects. First, it disaggregates urban water use into a large number of categories, each consisting of a relatively homogeneous group of water users. Second, it links water use in each category to factors that determine both the need for water as well as the intensity of water use. This approach is incorporated into a computerized forecasting system referred to as IWR‐MAIN. The advantages of the IWR.MAIN model over the traditional per capita method are illustrated in a case study of Anaheim, Californi

 

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