A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF TIME SERIES APPROACHES TO MODELING INTERSECTORAL AND INTERCOUNTY EMPLOYMET LINKAGES IN RURAL REGIONAL LABOR MARKETS*
作者:
Christopher Fawson,
Keith R. Criddle,
期刊:
Journal of Regional Science
(WILEY Available online 1994)
卷期:
Volume 34,
issue 1
页码: 57-74
ISSN:0022-4146
年代: 1994
DOI:10.1111/j.1467-9787.1994.tb00855.x
出版商: Blackwell Publishing Ltd
数据来源: WILEY
摘要:
ABSTRACT.The performance of five criteria for identifying significant interregional labor market linkages is compared. The criteria suggest differential model specifications based on the implicit tradeoff between parsimony and specification bias. Models were specified using: Akaike's final prediction error; Schwarz's Bayesian information criterion; an input‐output model; Aoki's time series algorithm; and a combined input‐outputi/time series approach. Models of the changes in monthly employment for twelve industries in six regions in northeastern Utah were specified using each criterion. Models based on Schwarz's criterion and the input‐output criterion were preferred to those based on other cri
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