Multi‐Frequency Cobweb Model: Decomposition of the Hog Cycle
作者:
Hovav Talpaz,
期刊:
American Journal of Agricultural Economics
(WILEY Available online 1974)
卷期:
Volume 56,
issue 1
页码: 38-49
ISSN:0002-9092
年代: 1974
DOI:10.2307/1239345
出版商: Oxford University Press
数据来源: WILEY
摘要:
AbstractThe Cobweb Theorem and the harmonic motion models are extended and integrated to form a multi‐frequency cobweb model explaining the U. S. hog production cycle. The cycle is estimated by a finite, time‐based Fourier Series allowing amplitude and frequency analysis. Six different cycles are discovered operating simultaneously in the attempt to reach a market equilibrium. An independent distributed lag model is estimated, verifying the fundamental hypothesis of the model. The implication is that improved industry performance can be efficiently achieved by control policies to dampen the harmful long period cycles, leaving the short ones unaffected.
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