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Intelligent Inference Systems based on Influence Diagrams

 

作者: HansW. Gottinger,   Peter Weimann,  

 

期刊: Journal of Decision Systems  (Taylor Available online 1993)
卷期: Volume 2, issue 1  

页码: 7-33

 

ISSN:1246-0125

 

年代: 1993

 

DOI:10.1080/12460125.1993.10511555

 

出版商: Taylor & Francis Group

 

关键词: influence diagrams;intelligent decision support systems;probabilistic reasoning;decision theoretic reasoning;logical reasoning;artificial intelligence;graphes d'influence;SIAD « intelligent »;raisonnement probabiliste;théorie de la déc

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

This paper explores various inference techniques for an intelligent decision support system based on influence diagrams. Rule—based expert systems for decision support have been successful for well-structured, well understood decision situations of a taxonomic classification type. As uncertainty is prevalent, information costly and payoff relevant, and the preferred solution depends on the specific beliefs and preferences of an individual or group decision maker the resolution methods of decision theory embodied in first—order predicate logic forms a natural basis for computerised intelligent decision support. Based on a unified characterisation of knowledge inference procedures for logical probabilistic and decision theoretic reasoning are described in detail.

 

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