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Poission search models and the evaluation of stopping rules

 

作者: John Bather,  

 

期刊: Sequential Analysis  (Taylor Available online 1995)
卷期: Volume 14, issue 3  

页码: 205-216

 

ISSN:0747-4946

 

年代: 1995

 

DOI:10.1080/07474949508836332

 

出版商: Marcel Dekker, Inc.

 

关键词: search models;Poisson processes;Bayes procedures;optimal stopping

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

Mathematically convenient models for a search can be based on a prior representation of the hidden objects and their values by a mixture of Poisson processes. In simple cases, we can find the corresponding Bayes procedures to maximise expected net gains, allowing for the cost of searching. More generally, optimal stopping rules for the search axe difficult to construct and evaluate. We also investigate a procedure based on the asymptotic behaviour of the system when the number of hidden objects is large. This is shown to provide a reasonably effective stopping rule over a wide range of conditions.

 

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