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An inclusion‐consistent solution to the problem of absurd confidence statements: 2. Consistent nonexact‐confidence‐interval estimation

 

作者: André Plante,  

 

期刊: Canadian Journal of Statistics  (WILEY Available online 1994)
卷期: Volume 22, issue 1  

页码: 1-13

 

ISSN:0319-5724

 

年代: 1994

 

DOI:10.2307/3315819

 

出版商: Wiley‐Blackwell

 

关键词: Consistent confidence approach;confidence anomalies;conservative confidence estimation;Behrens‐Fisher problem;Creasy‐Fieller problem

 

数据来源: WILEY

 

摘要:

AbstractTwo consistent nonexact‐confidence‐interval estimation methods, both derived from the consistency‐equivalence theorem in Plante (1991), are suggested for estimation of problematic parametric functions with no consistent exact solution and for which standard optimal confidence procedures are inadequate or even absurd, i.e., can provide confidence statements with a 95% empty or all‐inclusive confidence set. A belt C(·) from a consistent nonexact‐belt family, used with two confidence coefficients (γ = infθPθ[ θ ϵC(X)] and γ+= supθPθ[θ ϵ C(X)], is shown to provide a consistent nonexact‐belt solution for estimating μ2‐μ1in the Behrens‐Fisher problem. A rule for consistent behaviour enables any confidence belt to be used consistently by providing each sample point with best upper and lower confidence levels [δ+(x) ≥ γ+, δ(x) ≤ γ], which give least‐conservative consistent confidence statements ranging from practically exact through informative to noninformative. The rule also provides a consistency correctionL(x) = δ+(x)‐δ(X) enabling alternative confidence solutions to be compared on grounds of adequacy; this is demonstrated by comparing consistent conservative sample‐point‐wise solutions with inconsistent standard solutions for estimating μ2/μ1(Creasy‐Fieller‐Neyman problem) and\documentclass{article}\pagestyle{empty}\begin{document}$\sqrt {\mu _1^2 + \mu _2^2 }$\end{document}, a distance‐est

 

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