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A model of HIV diffusion from a single source

 

作者: NahmiasSteven,  

 

期刊: The Journal of Sex Research  (Taylor Available online 1989)
卷期: Volume 26, issue 1  

页码: 15-25

 

ISSN:0022-4499

 

年代: 1989

 

DOI:10.1080/00224498909551490

 

出版商: Taylor&Francis Group

 

关键词: mathematical model;HIV;AIDS;prostitution

 

数据来源: Taylor

 

摘要:

This paper presents a preliminary mathematical model of transmission of the HIV virus from a sexually active prostitute to her clients, and the transmission from those clients to their sexual partners. The final link in the chain is transmission from pregnant mothers to their fetuses. The goal of the study is to determine the effect that a single‐infected, very sexually active prostitute can have on a population of other uninfected adults. Assuming values for the probability of transmission at each sexual encounter and a model for client repeaters, we show that in five years, a single prostitute could be expected to infect about 20 men and about 0.8 unborn children.

 

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