Improving Scientists’Judgments of Risk
作者:
Kenneth R. Hammond,
Barry F. Anderson,
Jeffrey Sutherland,
Barbara Marvin,
期刊:
Risk Analysis
(WILEY Available online 1984)
卷期:
Volume 4,
issue 1
页码: 69-78
ISSN:0272-4332
年代: 1984
DOI:10.1111/j.1539-6924.1984.tb00132.x
出版商: Blackwell Publishing Ltd
关键词: risk judgments;conflict resolution;social policy;plutonium;lung cancer
数据来源: WILEY
摘要:
Scientists disagree in their risk analyses because they use intuitive judgments to generalize results from the laboratory to circumstances not yet studied. If this assertion is correct, techniques intended to reduce intuitive judgments and increase analytical cognition should reduce scientific dispute. The results of a test case involving allegedly high risk and sharp dispute among scientists are described.
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