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Improving Scientists’Judgments of Risk

 

作者: Kenneth R. Hammond,   Barry F. Anderson,   Jeffrey Sutherland,   Barbara Marvin,  

 

期刊: Risk Analysis  (WILEY Available online 1984)
卷期: Volume 4, issue 1  

页码: 69-78

 

ISSN:0272-4332

 

年代: 1984

 

DOI:10.1111/j.1539-6924.1984.tb00132.x

 

出版商: Blackwell Publishing Ltd

 

关键词: risk judgments;conflict resolution;social policy;plutonium;lung cancer

 

数据来源: WILEY

 

摘要:

Scientists disagree in their risk analyses because they use intuitive judgments to generalize results from the laboratory to circumstances not yet studied. If this assertion is correct, techniques intended to reduce intuitive judgments and increase analytical cognition should reduce scientific dispute. The results of a test case involving allegedly high risk and sharp dispute among scientists are described.

 

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