METHODS FOR DISCRIMINATING LEVELS OF PARTIAL KNOWLEDGE CONCERNING A TEST ITEM
作者:
Bruno de Finetti,
期刊:
British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology
(WILEY Available online 1965)
卷期:
Volume 18,
issue 1
页码: 87-123
ISSN:0007-1102
年代: 1965
DOI:10.1111/j.2044-8317.1965.tb00695.x
出版商: Blackwell Publishing Ltd
数据来源: WILEY
摘要:
It is argued that where a person is uncertain as to the true answer in a multiple choice question, he should be encouraged to express his partial knowledge in terms of the subjective probability he attaches to each alternative being correct. A variety of answering techniques are examined, together with ways of scoring them, to determine how far they provide an adequate appraisal of the subjective probabilities. Ways of choosing an appropriate method and of improving it are considered and it is suggested that, by suitable training, subjects may be provided with a better understanding of the proper basis for making sound decisions.
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