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STRATEGIC FACILITY PLANNING: THE ANALYSIS OF OPTIONS

 

作者: David A. Schilling,  

 

期刊: Decision Sciences  (WILEY Available online 1982)
卷期: Volume 13, issue 1  

页码: 1-14

 

ISSN:0011-7315

 

年代: 1982

 

DOI:10.1111/j.1540-5915.1982.tb00126.x

 

出版商: Blackwell Publishing Ltd

 

关键词: Location Models;Urban and Regional Planning;Forecasting

 

数据来源: WILEY

 

摘要:

ABSTRACTThis paper addresses the issue of uncertainty in planning the long‐term development of facility systems. In certain instances, the high variance of a single future forecast can be reduced by using a set of alternative future scenarios. By carefully selecting facility configurations, the planner can delay the selection of a future set of facility sites at little or no sacrifice while additional information is gathered and uncertainty reduced. This allows the planner to maintain flexibility in adapting to a complex and dynamic environment.Several models are presented for different planning contexts. Examples for each, as well as a robust bicriterion solution heuristic, are also provide

 

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